23 Dec 2021

 
   
 

 

 
 


Teams playing 5 and 4 consecutive matches where the team trailing at 3/4 time won the match.
Plus:

 
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5 Consecutive - 4 instances

Collingwood  1931 - Won 3 Lost 2

St Kilda  1940 - Won 1 Lost 4

Melbourne  1949 - Won 3 Lost 2

Fremantle  2008 - Won 0 Lost 5

4 Consecutive - 9 instances

Hawthorn  1931 - Won 2 Lost 2*

Melbourne  1946 - Won 3 Lost 1*



*  Hawthorn's round 6 match was postponed until after round 8.


* In their next 3 matches Melbourne defeated Nth Melbourne in round 19 after leading at all quarter breaks but then went on to win the 1st semi and preliminary finals after trailing at 3/4 time.

Essendon  1947 - Won 2 Lost 2

Essendon  1949 - Won 1 Lost 3

North Melbourne  1960 - Won 1 Lost 3

Carlton  1966 - Won 1 Lost 3

Melbourne  1975 - Won 2 Lost 2

Geelong  2009-10 - Won 3 Lost 1

Port Adelaide  2010 - Won 3 Lost 1

 

Fremantle's 2008, Geelong's 2009-10, and Port Adelaide's 2010 and sequences were all after a more than 30 year gap. 

A significant feature in the past was the effect of wind on matches. Prevailing wind coming through open sections of the ground could easily mean that a wind assisted advantage built up in the 3rd quarter could be reversed when the opposition kicked with the wind in the last. Even so they are rare. 

The preponderance 1946-49 may have had something to do with Melbourne's and Essendon's playing styles at the time as well as particular weather conditions. Or it may be just due to coincidence.


To the end of 2021 14.61% of Essendon's matches (1897-2021) have seen  a points surplus or deficit at 3/4 time, reversed in the final result which is the highest in the League. So far this has applied to 8.02% of Gold Coast's matches 2011-21.

The highest percentage of matches won after trailing at 3/4 time has been 24.37% (29/119) in 1946. The lowest has been 4.23% (3/71) in 1903. The figure for 2021 was 13.04% (27/207) - which ranked equal 65th highest from 125 seasons 1897-2021.

The most matches played by a team in 2021 where a 3/4 time lead or deficit was lost or overcome was 5 by Adelaide (won 3) and 5 by West Coast (won 2) .

Results after trailing at 3/4 time 1897-1986

Results after leading at 3/4 time 1897-1986

Results after trailing at 3/4 time 1987-2021

Results after leading at 3/4 time 1987-2021

The most won after trailing at 3/4 time in 2021 were 3 by Adelaide, Port Adelaide,  and  WB/Footscray. 

The most lost after leading at 3/4 time in 2021 were 3 by Collingwood and 3 by West Coast.